Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -120 EKU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -0.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -1.0 (+2.0) | 141.9 (-10.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -1.0 (+2.0) | 143.2 (-12.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -1.0 (+2.0) | 143.4 (-12.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -1.0 (+2.0) | 142.0 (-11.0) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2020 | MORE 75 – 62 EKU |
| Dec 8, 2020 | EKU 71 – 68 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-8 | 22-7 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-1 | 10-2 |
| Away | 8-5 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#145) | 0.6 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#104) | 0.54 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#122) | -0.05 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#56) | 0.533 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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