Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
| Money | MORE +200 EKU -240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -7.5 (+20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -7.2 (+20.2) | 143.2 (-6.2) | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -7.0 (+20.0) | 142.6 (-5.6) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -8.6 (+21.6) | 145.1 (-8.1) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -6.6 (+19.6) | 142.9 (-5.9) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2021 | MORE 67 – 64 EKU |
| Dec 8, 2020 | EKU 71 – 68 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-8 | 22-7 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-1 | 10-2 |
| Away | 8-5 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#295) | 2.3 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#284) | 1.06 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.11 (#279) | 1.53 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#274) | 0.503 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 28.5% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 28.6% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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