Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | EKU -600 MORE +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +3 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -28.0 (-25.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -17.3 (-14.3) | 146.7 (-7.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -15.9 (-12.9) | 144.8 (-5.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -18.7 (-15.7) | 144.4 (-5.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -19.9 (-16.9) | 146.7 (-7.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2021 | MORE 67 – 64 EKU |
| Dec 14, 2020 | MORE 75 – 62 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-7 | 23-8 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 17-3 |
| Home | 10-2 | 12-1 |
| Away | 9-4 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 64.7 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#55) | -13.5 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#65) | -1.32 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#67) | -2.21 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#134) | 0.411 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 25.4% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 26.2% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.6% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.2% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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