Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | ARMY -188 AMER +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +23 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -5.9 (+17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (+15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -5.5 (+17.5) | 137.5 (+17.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -6.0 (+17.0) | 136.1 (+18.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -6.2 (+16.8) | 138.9 (+16.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -6.6 (+16.4) | 136.3 (+18.7) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | AMER 75 – 63 ARMY |
| Jan 18, 2026 | AMER 78 – 67 ARMY |
| Feb 19, 2025 | ARMY 76 – 69 AMER |
| Feb 1, 2025 | AMER 71 – 68 ARMY |
| Feb 28, 2024 | AMER 73 – 51 ARMY |
Game Analysis
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