Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | WOF -150 MER +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MER +1 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -1.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -0.4 (-1.4) | 142.8 (-19.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -1.1 (-2.1) | 138.7 (-15.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MER -0.1 (-0.9) | 142.5 (-19.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MER -0.2 (-0.8) | 143.4 (-20.4) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | WOF 80 – 77 MER |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MER 109 – 97 WOF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | WOF 77 – 66 MER |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WOF 69 – 49 MER |
| Feb 15, 2024 | WOF 73 – 60 MER |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | MER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-9 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 12-5 | 8-9 |
| Home | 9-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#119) | 2.5 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#108) | 0.41 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#112) | 0.53 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#89) | 0.521 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | MER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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