I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
E.A. Diddle Arena · March 6, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money WKU -275 / ODU +275
Model Predictions
Spread Total WKU win
Actual WKU +3 117 Won
Massey WKU -8.6 (-5.6) — —
Massey Totals — 140.4 (-23.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 83% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WKU -7.4 (-4.4) 139.8 (-22.8) 74% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WKU -9.9 (-6.9) 140.9 (-23.9) 81% ✓
Baseline ML WKU -9.8 (-6.8) 140.8 (-23.8) 80% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WKU -9.3 (-6.3) 141.3 (-24.3) 78% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2022 WKU 73 – 64 ODU
Feb 6, 2022 WKU 77 – 60 ODU
Mar 6, 2021 ODU 71 – 69 WKU

Game Analysis

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