We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
E.A. Diddle Arena · March 6, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money WKU -275 / ODU +275
Model Predictions
Spread Total WKU win
Actual ODU +2 140 Lost
Massey WKU -8.6 (-10.6) — —
Massey Totals — 140.4 (-0.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 83% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 89% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WKU -7.4 (-9.4) 140.1 (-0.1) 75% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WKU -10.0 (-12.0) 140.9 (-0.9) 81% ✗
Baseline ML WKU -10.0 (-12.0) 140.8 (-0.8) 80% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WKU -9.1 (-11.1) 141.7 (-1.7) 78% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2022 WKU 73 – 64 ODU
Feb 6, 2022 WKU 77 – 60 ODU
Mar 6, 2021 WKU 60 – 57 ODU

Game Analysis

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