Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | WICH -800 USF +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +17 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -11.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -11.1 (+5.9) | 140.7 (+2.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -8.9 (+8.1) | 138.4 (+4.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -10.5 (+6.5) | 139.4 (+3.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -11.3 (+5.7) | 139.8 (+3.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | USF 70 – 55 WICH |
| Feb 12, 2026 | USF 66 – 58 WICH |
| Jan 18, 2026 | WICH 86 – 85 USF |
| Mar 13, 2025 | WICH 73 – 68 USF |
| Feb 9, 2025 | WICH 75 – 70 USF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-6 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-2 | 4-6 |
| Away | 5-2 | 3-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#78) | -1.7 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#22) | 0.32 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#32) | 0.35 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#19) | 0.491 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | USF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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