Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | MINN +160 RUTG -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +7 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | RUTG -0.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -0.9 (-7.9) | 141.3 (+5.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -0.1 (-7.1) | 139.9 (+7.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -0.6 (-7.6) | 144.0 (+3.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -0.0 (-7.0) | 141.7 (+5.3) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | RUTG 72 – 67 MINN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MINN 80 – 61 RUTG |
| Mar 9, 2025 | RUTG 75 – 67 MINN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | MINN 81 – 70 RUTG |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MINN 75 – 74 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-15 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 0-10 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#66) | 11.5 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#58) | 2.06 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#49) | 2.83 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#143) | 0.556 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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