Louisiana
Ragin' Cajuns
79
–
68
FINAL
Neutral
Sun Belt Conference Championship
South Alabama
Jaguars
Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UL -120 USA +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +11 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UL -0.8 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -0.8 (+10.2) | 144.5 (+2.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -1.3 (+9.7) | 142.5 (+4.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -0.3 (+10.7) | 143.8 (+3.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UL -1.2 (+9.8) | 143.6 (+3.4) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | UL 59 – 56 USA |
| Dec 31, 2025 | USA 63 – 58 UL |
| Mar 1, 2025 | USA 65 – 42 UL |
| Feb 2, 2025 | USA 62 – 58 UL |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UL 80 – 60 USA |
Game Analysis
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