Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | SIE -225 CAN +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +1 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -6.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -5.3 (-6.3) | 136.2 (+14.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -4.6 (-5.6) | 136.1 (+14.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -5.4 (-6.4) | 135.9 (+15.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -5.2 (-6.2) | 136.7 (+14.3) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SIE 78 – 63 CAN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | SIE 74 – 52 CAN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CAN 93 – 88 SIE |
| Dec 8, 2024 | SIE 66 – 53 CAN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CAN 73 – 64 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-5 | 7-6 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 7-5 |
| Home | 6-2 | 3-1 |
| Away | 6-2 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#150) | -3.5 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#91) | 0.08 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#99) | -0.10 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#45) | 0.555 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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