Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | NAVY -163 L-MD +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAVY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | NAVY -6.3 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -7.5 (-15.5) | 135.8 (+8.2) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -6.6 (-14.6) | 134.2 (+9.8) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -7.4 (-15.4) | 137.4 (+6.6) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -7.4 (-15.4) | 136.9 (+7.1) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | NAVY 78 – 51 L-MD |
| Jan 31, 2026 | NAVY 87 – 71 L-MD |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NAVY 81 – 68 L-MD |
| Jan 11, 2025 | L-MD 75 – 74 NAVY |
| Mar 6, 2024 | NAVY 64 – 48 L-MD |
Game Analysis
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