Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | GCU -333 UVU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +4 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | GCU -8.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -7.4 (-11.4) | 138.8 (-24.8) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -7.4 (-11.4) | 135.2 (-21.2) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -8.3 (-12.3) | 139.2 (-25.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -7.6 (-11.6) | 139.0 (-25.0) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 16, 2025 | GCU 89 – 82 UVU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | GCU 75 – 57 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UVU 72 – 64 GCU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | GCU 86 – 67 UVU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | GCU 78 – 65 UVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-7 | 11-11 |
| Conference | 9-3 | 9-4 |
| Home | 10-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-1 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#120) | -3.0 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#179) | -0.98 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#159) | -1.24 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#163) | 0.485 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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