Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | WAKE +350 GT -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +12 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | GT -7.6 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -7.3 (-4.7) | 140.6 (-2.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -6.1 (-5.9) | 137.4 (+0.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -7.0 (-5.0) | 140.1 (-2.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -6.4 (-5.6) | 141.4 (-3.4) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | WAKE 83 – 67 GT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WAKE 69 – 43 GT |
| Mar 6, 2024 | GT 70 – 69 WAKE |
| Feb 7, 2024 | WAKE 80 – 51 GT |
| Feb 11, 2023 | WAKE 71 – 70 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-16 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 11-6 |
| Home | 5-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#153) | 10.6 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#189) | 1.84 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#185) | 2.57 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#259) | 0.547 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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