Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | WMU -125 EMU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +1 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | WMU -5.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -3.1 (-4.1) | 139.8 (-12.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WMU -2.7 (-3.7) | 138.3 (-11.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -3.1 (-4.1) | 140.9 (-13.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -3.1 (-4.1) | 139.2 (-12.2) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WMU 76 – 62 EMU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WMU 79 – 62 EMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WMU 61 – 54 EMU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | EMU 70 – 67 WMU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | WMU 73 – 56 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-16 | 6-12 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 3-11 |
| Home | 2-9 | 5-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 80.4 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#291) | -11.3 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#302) | -2.28 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#296) | -2.75 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#294) | 0.402 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 58.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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