Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UNA +150 FGCU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +15 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -1.5 (+16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+41.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -1.6 (+16.6) | 135.2 (+41.8) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -0.9 (+15.9) | 137.8 (+39.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -1.4 (+16.4) | 137.3 (+39.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -2.0 (+17.0) | 136.5 (+40.5) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | FGCU 69 – 58 UNA |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FGCU 72 – 64 UNA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | FGCU 72 – 55 UNA |
| Jan 10, 2025 | FGCU 75 – 70 UNA |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UNA 70 – 69 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-11 | 10-8 |
| Conference | 7-8 | 4-5 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-4 |
| Away | 3-6 | 2-2 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#298) | -7.6 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#274) | -1.00 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#283) | -1.50 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#274) | 0.425 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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