Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -150 ASU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +39 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -3.9 (+35.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -4.7 (+34.3) | 147.1 (+9.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -3.6 (+35.4) | 146.5 (+10.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -4.2 (+34.8) | 148.6 (+8.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -4.1 (+34.9) | 147.4 (+9.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ASU 73 – 60 UTAH |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ASU 71 – 63 UTAH |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTAH 99 – 73 ASU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 57 ASU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | ASU 85 – 77 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-13 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 7-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#87) | 4.9 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#113) | 0.68 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#92) | 0.95 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#157) | 0.516 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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