Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -110 MOST +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -4.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -3.7 (-1.7) | 142.4 (-2.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -3.3 (-1.3) | 136.0 (+4.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -3.4 (-1.4) | 140.5 (-0.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -3.6 (-1.6) | 141.7 (-1.7) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2025 | DRKE 68 – 60 MOST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DRKE 69 – 62 MOST |
| Jan 25, 2024 | MOST 83 – 80 DRKE |
| Dec 2, 2023 | DRKE 74 – 57 MOST |
| Jan 19, 2023 | MOST 65 – 62 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-5 | 17-7 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 9-2 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#50) | 5.5 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#40) | 0.93 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#66) | 0.90 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#77) | 0.537 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 78.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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