What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
Colgate Raiders
77 – 69
FINAL Patriot League Tournament
Boston University Terriers
Cotterell Court · March 6, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread COLG -11.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money COLG -800 / BU +650
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLG win
Actual COLG +8 146 Won
Massey COLG -19.9 (-11.9) — —
Massey Totals — 150.2 (-4.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COLG -17.4 (-9.4) 150.8 (-4.8) 90% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COLG -14.7 (-6.7) 149.6 (-3.6) 89% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COLG -16.1 (-8.1) 150.4 (-4.4) 89% ✓
Baseline ML COLG -15.9 (-7.9) 148.2 (-2.2) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 16, 2026 BU 85 – 58 COLG
Jan 24, 2026 COLG 80 – 79 BU
Feb 15, 2025 BU 93 – 91 COLG
Jan 11, 2025 COLG 87 – 50 BU
Feb 8, 2024 COLG 74 – 64 BU

Game Analysis

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