Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU +350 UCI -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -10.8 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -9.4 (+6.4) | 145.5 (-6.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -8.3 (+5.3) | 143.9 (-4.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -9.0 (+6.0) | 143.6 (-4.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -8.3 (+5.3) | 146.8 (-7.8) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UCI 69 – 58 LBSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UCI 74 – 64 LBSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UCI 70 – 60 LBSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCI 80 – 75 LBSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | LBSU 83 – 79 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-12 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 4-8 | 10-4 |
| Home | 4-3 | 10-1 |
| Away | 1-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 64.1 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#303) | 3.9 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#255) | 0.59 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#270) | 0.91 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#300) | 0.543 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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