Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | PRST +180 SUU -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +19 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | SUU -2.4 (-16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -2.0 (-17.0) | 143.4 (-16.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -0.7 (-18.3) | 140.2 (-13.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -2.8 (-16.2) | 143.6 (-16.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -2.0 (-17.0) | 144.7 (-17.7) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2022 | PRST 77 – 65 SUU |
| Jan 28, 2022 | SUU 85 – 82 PRST |
| Jan 18, 2022 | SUU 86 – 76 PRST |
| Mar 5, 2021 | SUU 68 – 58 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 20-4 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 12-2 |
| Home | 7-6 | 14-0 |
| Away | 2-6 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#223) | 1.3 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#289) | 0.92 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#298) | 0.75 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#293) | 0.558 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.1% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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