You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
65 – 77
FINAL Neutral Conference Big Sky
Portland State Vikings
Big Sky Conference · Idaho Central Arena (Neutral) · March 11, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SUU -6.0 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total SUU win
Actual PRST +12 142 Lost
Massey SUU -6.2 (-18.2) — —
Massey Totals — 148.7 (-6.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 81% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 80% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SUU -5.2 (-17.2) 146.3 (-4.3) 72% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SUU -6.1 (-18.1) 146.9 (-4.9) 73% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SUU -5.2 (-17.2) 148.2 (-6.2) 68% ✗
Baseline ML SUU -5.3 (-17.3) 146.9 (-4.9) 68% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 28, 2022 SUU 85 – 82 PRST
Jan 18, 2022 SUU 86 – 76 PRST
Mar 6, 2021 SUU 73 – 54 PRST
Mar 5, 2021 SUU 68 – 58 PRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SUU PRST
Overall 23-12 14-17
Conference 14-6 10-10
Home 13-3 7-7
Away 8-8 5-9
Neutral 2-1 2-1
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.9 71.6
Avg Pts Against 72.8 73.6
Massey -0.1 (#171) -6.4 (#271)
Bradley-Terry 0.23 (#153) -1.19 (#271)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.21 (#157) -1.18 (#257)
RPI 0.530 (#116) 0.441 (#289)
Shooting & Four Factors SUU PRST
FG% 45.7% 42.0%
3PT% 34.5% 29.8%
REB / G 36.3 32.6
OREB / G 9.8 9.9
AST / TO 0.93 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.6% 47.1%
TOV% 17.0% 17.1%
ORB% 27.7% 26.3%
FT Rate 24.7% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.6% 52.9%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 23.5%
DRB% 77.0% 67.8%
Opp FT Rate 20.9% 26.9%

Game Analysis

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