Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | PRST +140 SUU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +10 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | SUU -1.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -0.6 (-9.4) | 145.0 (-19.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -0.3 (-9.7) | 141.0 (-15.0) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -1.3 (-8.7) | 145.9 (-19.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -0.1 (-9.9) | 146.9 (-20.9) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2022 | PRST 77 – 65 SUU |
| Jan 28, 2022 | SUU 85 – 82 PRST |
| Jan 18, 2022 | SUU 86 – 76 PRST |
| Mar 6, 2021 | SUU 73 – 54 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 20-4 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 12-2 |
| Home | 7-6 | 14-0 |
| Away | 2-6 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#216) | 0.9 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#286) | 0.84 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#294) | 0.67 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#303) | 0.556 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 78.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.9% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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