Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +3 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | SUU -5.1 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (+23.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -5.4 (+2.4) | 144.3 (+22.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -5.2 (+2.2) | 146.4 (+20.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -5.4 (+2.4) | 148.3 (+18.7) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -5.4 (+2.4) | 146.7 (+20.3) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2022 | PRST 77 – 65 SUU |
| Jan 18, 2022 | SUU 86 – 76 PRST |
| Mar 6, 2021 | SUU 73 – 54 PRST |
| Mar 5, 2021 | SUU 68 – 58 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#320) | -1.4 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.97 (#348) | 0.18 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.22 (#339) | 0.13 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.367 (#348) | 0.496 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 26.0% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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