Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +10 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -12.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+27.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -9.3 (+0.7) | 138.0 (+24.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -10.5 (-0.5) | 140.5 (+21.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -8.9 (+1.1) | 140.8 (+21.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -8.8 (+1.2) | 139.3 (+22.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2022 | PRST 77 – 65 SUU |
| Jan 28, 2022 | SUU 85 – 82 PRST |
| Mar 6, 2021 | SUU 73 – 54 PRST |
| Mar 5, 2021 | SUU 68 – 58 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#176) | -8.7 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#143) | -2.13 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#152) | -2.31 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#142) | 0.385 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 35.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 23.7% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 39.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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