Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | SDST -1200 OMA +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +13 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -14.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -12.7 (+0.3) | 152.4 (+2.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -11.6 (+1.4) | 149.8 (+5.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -13.0 (-0.0) | 153.3 (+1.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -12.1 (+0.9) | 151.1 (+3.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | OMA 80 – 71 SDST |
| Jan 1, 2026 | SDST 84 – 69 OMA |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SDST 98 – 85 OMA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | OMA 87 – 80 SDST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SDST 85 – 77 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-7 | 5-20 |
| Conference | 9-3 | 3-11 |
| Home | 8-1 | 1-5 |
| Away | 4-2 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 78.0 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#115) | -10.9 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#140) | -2.60 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#158) | -3.40 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#95) | 0.415 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 40.8% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 78.7% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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