Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -800 BTLR +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +20 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -13.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (+30.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -12.0 (+8.0) | 135.4 (+30.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -9.8 (+10.2) | 137.1 (+28.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -12.3 (+7.7) | 137.2 (+28.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -12.1 (+7.9) | 136.5 (+29.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CREI 76 – 59 BTLR |
| Dec 31, 2025 | CREI 89 – 85 BTLR |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CREI 87 – 74 BTLR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CREI 80 – 76 BTLR |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CREI 79 – 57 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 14.5 (#17) | 3.6 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#24) | 0.94 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.06 (#22) | 1.38 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#71) | 0.482 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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