Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | ELON -150 TOW +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +21 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -2.0 (+19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -3.0 (+18.0) | 136.6 (-19.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -2.6 (+18.4) | 132.3 (-15.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -3.1 (+17.9) | 137.4 (-20.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -3.7 (+17.3) | 138.3 (-21.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | TOW 58 – 56 ELON |
| Jan 23, 2026 | TOW 72 – 59 ELON |
| Feb 21, 2025 | ELON 69 – 63 TOW |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TOW 80 – 55 ELON |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TOW 66 – 62 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-9 | 4-14 |
| Conference | 4-7 | 3-9 |
| Home | 4-2 | 4-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 0-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#247) | -6.9 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#213) | -1.36 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#221) | -1.57 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#187) | 0.419 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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