Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN +350 UCR -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +4 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -11.3 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -8.3 (+4.3) | 146.7 (-6.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -7.9 (+3.9) | 144.4 (-4.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -8.1 (+4.1) | 148.3 (-8.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -7.8 (+3.8) | 147.6 (-7.6) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCR 95 – 84 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CSUN 88 – 74 UCR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCR 94 – 79 CSUN |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCR 68 – 64 CSUN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 70 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 14-8 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 8-4 |
| Home | 4-7 | 5-4 |
| Away | 4-4 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 63.6 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#286) | 5.5 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#219) | 0.15 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#237) | 0.65 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#264) | 0.482 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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