Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +25 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | ACU -21.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -17.4 (+7.6) | 132.8 (+12.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -17.7 (+7.3) | 135.9 (+9.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -19.1 (+5.9) | 135.7 (+9.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -20.0 (+5.0) | 137.2 (+7.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2021 | ACU 98 – 65 UIW |
| Jan 30, 2021 | ACU 75 – 67 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-5 | 8-14 |
| Conference | 13-2 | 5-9 |
| Home | 13-0 | 5-7 |
| Away | 5-4 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.6 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#82) | -12.1 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#109) | -2.94 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#100) | -3.76 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#87) | 0.400 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.2% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.3% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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