Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | UIW +1200 ACU -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +8 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | ACU -17.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.4 (+16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -11.4 (+3.4) | 132.7 (+9.3) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -14.0 (+6.0) | 132.0 (+10.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -14.3 (+6.3) | 134.8 (+7.2) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -13.8 (+5.8) | 133.9 (+8.1) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2021 | ACU 98 – 65 UIW |
| Mar 6, 2021 | ACU 85 – 60 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-14 | 24-5 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 13-2 |
| Home | 5-7 | 13-0 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 61.6 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#319) | 8.4 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.12 (#336) | 1.07 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.70 (#339) | 1.51 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.356 (#335) | 0.534 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 43.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 29.4% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
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