Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -20.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +33 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | ACU -22.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -21.9 (+11.1) | 149.0 (+14.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -16.1 (+16.9) | 149.0 (+14.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -17.0 (+16.0) | 151.2 (+11.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -17.8 (+15.2) | 146.7 (+16.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2021 | ACU 85 – 60 UIW |
| Jan 30, 2021 | ACU 75 – 67 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 3-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 5-10 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#84) | -11.7 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#98) | -3.84 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#86) | -5.40 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#98) | 0.398 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 26.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 25.2% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 60.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.4% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 61.5% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.5% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.