Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | PUR -250 IU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +9 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | PUR -5.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -7.2 (+1.8) | 136.2 (-11.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -6.0 (+3.0) | 134.4 (-9.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -5.8 (+3.2) | 135.8 (-10.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -6.9 (+2.1) | 136.5 (-11.5) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | PUR 93 – 64 IU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | IU 72 – 67 PUR |
| Feb 23, 2025 | IU 73 – 58 PUR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | PUR 81 – 76 IU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | PUR 79 – 59 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-10 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 7-12 |
| Home | 11-1 | 6-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#20) | 10.9 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#18) | 1.75 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.51 (#13) | 2.55 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#28) | 0.531 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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