Betting Lines
| Spread | HCU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | HCU -200 AMCC +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +24 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | HCU -4.4 (-28.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HCU -5.2 (-29.2) | 143.4 (+20.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HCU -4.3 (-28.3) | 143.3 (+20.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HCU -3.8 (-27.8) | 144.8 (+19.2) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HCU -4.8 (-28.8) | 146.1 (+17.9) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 71 HCU |
| Jan 6, 2026 | AMCC 81 – 65 HCU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | AMCC 62 – 48 HCU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 62 HCU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | HCU 76 – 72 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-19 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 4-11 | 2-13 |
| Home | 4-6 | 4-8 |
| Away | 1-12 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.1 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -12.6 (#329) | -14.5 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.66 (#335) | -4.26 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.46 (#336) | -5.17 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#317) | 0.371 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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