Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | MCN +100 LAM +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +9 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -0.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-34.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -0.2 (-8.8) | 143.7 (-32.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -0.7 (-8.3) | 142.3 (-31.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -0.7 (-8.3) | 143.3 (-32.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -0.6 (-8.4) | 143.1 (-32.1) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | MCN 64 – 63 LAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MCN 82 – 70 LAM |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MCN 63 – 54 LAM |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MCN 68 – 66 LAM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MCN 75 – 64 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-14 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 6-10 |
| Home | 7-5 | 5-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -13.1 (#333) | -10.7 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.84 (#336) | -2.35 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.78 (#339) | -3.04 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.377 (#341) | 0.408 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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