Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | LAF -138 BUCK +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +8 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | LAF -4.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (+19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -4.1 (-12.1) | 155.1 (+20.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAF -4.1 (-12.1) | 154.2 (+21.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAF -5.0 (-13.0) | 156.5 (+19.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -4.1 (-12.1) | 154.9 (+21.1) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | LAF 81 – 79 BUCK |
| Jan 15, 2026 | BUCK 76 – 69 LAF |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BUCK 75 – 69 LAF |
| Jan 9, 2025 | BUCK 65 – 62 LAF |
| Mar 3, 2024 | BUCK 60 – 50 LAF |
Game Analysis
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