They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · March 6, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Over
Money CBU -163 / SEA +170
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual SEA +1 159 Lost
Massey CBU -3.8 (-4.8) — —
Massey Totals — 151.4 (+7.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 61% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 62% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -3.1 (-4.1) 146.1 (+12.9) 63% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -2.6 (-3.6) 147.0 (+12.0) 54% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CBU -2.7 (-3.7) 148.3 (+10.7) 53% ✗
Baseline ML CBU -1.9 (-2.9) 147.5 (+11.5) 55% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2025 SEA 72 – 48 CBU
Jan 5, 2025 CBU 61 – 59 SEA
Mar 15, 2024 SEA 81 – 57 CBU
Feb 4, 2024 SEA 61 – 60 CBU
Jan 6, 2024 SEA 48 – 46 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU SEA
Overall 13-10 12-11
Conference 6-6 4-5
Home 11-4 6-3
Away 2-5 3-6
Neutral 0-1 2-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.3 70.3
Avg Pts Against 76.5 72.0
Massey -3.8 (#229) -5.1 (#252)
Bradley-Terry -1.30 (#273) -1.32 (#276)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.27 (#255) -1.28 (#256)
RPI 0.451 (#254) 0.411 (#320)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU SEA
FG% 45.5% 40.0%
3PT% 39.8% 31.7%
REB / G 35.8 32.6
OREB / G 9.8 9.7
AST / TO 1.15 1.04
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.6% 46.9%
TOV% 19.4% 15.6%
ORB% 28.4% 25.2%
FT Rate 26.2% 19.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.1% 49.1%
Opp TOV% 16.2% 21.8%
DRB% 72.9% 69.4%
Opp FT Rate 24.6% 30.4%

Game Analysis

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