Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | DSU +1000 MORG -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +7 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | MORG -16.4 (+23.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -13.1 (+20.1) | 156.9 (+0.1) | 14% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -9.9 (+16.9) | 154.2 (+2.8) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -11.6 (+18.6) | 156.2 (+0.8) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -11.9 (+18.9) | 156.5 (+0.5) | 15% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | DSU 75 – 70 MORG |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MORG 82 – 68 DSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORG 80 – 79 DSU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MORG 87 – 81 DSU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | DSU 84 – 82 MORG |
Game Analysis
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