Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | MIZ -138 LSU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +6 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | MIZ -0.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -2.3 (-8.3) | 158.8 (+7.2) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -0.5 (-6.5) | 156.1 (+9.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -1.3 (-7.3) | 159.0 (+7.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -1.8 (-7.8) | 157.4 (+8.6) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | LSU 78 – 70 MIZ |
| Jan 8, 2025 | MIZ 83 – 67 LSU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | LSU 84 – 80 MIZ |
| Mar 2, 2023 | MIZ 81 – 76 LSU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | MIZ 87 – 77 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-10 | 19-10 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 11-6 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 81.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#40) | 13.3 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#23) | 1.97 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#34) | 2.56 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#14) | 0.585 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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