Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | SBU +140 SLU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +18 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -0.4 (+17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -1.2 (+16.8) | 132.6 (-8.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -0.4 (+17.6) | 125.8 (-1.8) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -1.2 (+16.8) | 131.3 (-7.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -1.4 (+16.6) | 133.0 (-9.0) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | SLU 97 – 62 SBU |
| Jan 9, 2025 | SLU 73 – 68 SBU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SLU 73 – 65 SBU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | SLU 78 – 55 SBU |
| Mar 11, 2022 | SLU 57 – 56 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-5 | 14-7 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 6-4 |
| Home | 8-1 | 12-1 |
| Away | 3-3 | 1-4 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 65.4 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#30) | 11.8 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#49) | 1.51 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#45) | 2.08 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#33) | 0.551 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 78.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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