Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | KSU -200 ISU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +5 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -2.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -2.8 (+2.2) | 134.4 (-17.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -2.8 (+2.2) | 133.6 (-16.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -3.0 (+2.0) | 133.8 (-16.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -2.9 (+2.1) | 133.5 (-16.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | ISU 95 – 61 KSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ISU 73 – 57 KSU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | KSU 80 – 61 ISU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | ISU 76 – 57 KSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | KSU 65 – 58 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 2-22 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 0-18 |
| Home | 6-12 | 2-10 |
| Away | 2-7 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.6 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#204) | -2.2 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#165) | -1.32 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#173) | -1.47 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#231) | 0.449 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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