The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Big Sky Conference · Dee Events Center · March 5, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WEB -9.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money WEB -500 / UNCO +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total WEB win
Actual WEB +1 119 Won
Massey WEB -14.3 (-13.3) — —
Massey Totals — 147.9 (-28.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WEB -14.2 (-13.2) 146.7 (-27.7) 88% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WEB -10.3 (-9.3) 143.8 (-24.8) 85% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WEB -14.0 (-13.0) 145.4 (-26.4) 87% ✓
Baseline ML WEB -12.9 (-11.9) 147.3 (-28.3) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 UNCO 88 – 74 WEB
Jan 11, 2026 WEB 76 – 71 UNCO
Mar 9, 2025 UNCO 76 – 52 WEB
Mar 4, 2025 UNCO 68 – 63 WEB
Jan 3, 2025 UNCO 89 – 72 WEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WEB UNCO
Overall 17-6 11-11
Conference 12-3 6-8
Home 11-0 6-5
Away 6-5 4-5
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 79.2 68.0
Avg Pts Against 70.8 70.5
Massey 5.8 (#90) -5.9 (#263)
Bradley-Terry 0.44 (#137) -1.55 (#298)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.47 (#144) -2.35 (#309)
RPI 0.560 (#68) 0.428 (#295)
Shooting & Four Factors WEB UNCO
FG% 50.4% 42.7%
3PT% 37.6% 36.8%
REB / G 32.7 32.8
OREB / G 6.5 8.0
AST / TO 1.18 0.68
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.5% 50.5%
TOV% 17.1% 20.9%
ORB% 22.4% 23.7%
FT Rate 28.8% 22.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.4% 48.7%
Opp TOV% 18.4% 16.7%
DRB% 75.4% 75.1%
Opp FT Rate 23.8% 25.7%

Game Analysis

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