Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -2500 ISU +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +27 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -18.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -16.0 (+11.0) | 137.4 (-2.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -14.7 (+12.3) | 138.1 (-3.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -17.2 (+9.8) | 137.9 (-2.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -16.6 (+10.4) | 137.5 (-2.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | ISU 75 – 53 TTU |
| Feb 28, 2026 | TTU 82 – 73 ISU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ISU 85 – 84 TTU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ISU 82 – 74 TTU |
| Jan 31, 2023 | TTU 80 – 77 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 2-22 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 0-18 |
| Home | 11-4 | 2-10 |
| Away | 5-4 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.2 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#17) | -1.9 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#19) | -1.32 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#21) | -1.49 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#55) | 0.449 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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