Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SIE -250 CAN +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +7 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -6.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -5.8 (+1.2) | 136.1 (+2.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -4.3 (+2.7) | 136.2 (+2.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -5.3 (+1.7) | 136.6 (+2.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -5.6 (+1.4) | 136.3 (+2.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SIE 78 – 63 CAN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | SIE 74 – 52 CAN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CAN 93 – 88 SIE |
| Dec 8, 2024 | SIE 66 – 53 CAN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CAN 73 – 64 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-5 | 7-6 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 7-5 |
| Home | 6-2 | 3-1 |
| Away | 6-2 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#149) | -3.5 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#98) | 0.15 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#103) | -0.05 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#66) | 0.538 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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