Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -225 ILST +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +5 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -2.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -2.0 (+3.0) | 142.9 (-17.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -2.0 (+3.0) | 140.8 (-15.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -2.5 (+2.5) | 142.3 (-17.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -2.1 (+2.9) | 144.1 (-19.1) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNI 74 – 52 ILST |
| Feb 26, 2026 | ILST 71 – 69 UNI |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ILST 59 – 54 UNI |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNI 68 – 65 ILST |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UNI 85 – 84 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 7-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-5 | 3-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#183) | -3.9 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#213) | -1.21 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#203) | -1.28 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#183) | 0.436 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.