Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | SBU -333 DUQ +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +16 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -8.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -8.8 (+7.2) | 129.7 (+4.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -6.3 (+9.7) | 127.5 (+6.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -7.8 (+8.2) | 130.8 (+3.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -8.4 (+7.6) | 131.7 (+2.3) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | DUQ 78 – 73 SBU |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SBU 87 – 79 DUQ |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SBU 64 – 59 DUQ |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SBU 70 – 63 DUQ |
| Jan 18, 2025 | DUQ 75 – 57 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-5 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 7-7 |
| Home | 8-1 | 5-1 |
| Away | 3-3 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#32) | 2.9 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#53) | 0.44 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#52) | 0.79 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#35) | 0.504 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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