Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SF -275 USD +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +16 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | SF -10.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-24.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -7.2 (+8.8) | 143.7 (-25.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -7.5 (+8.5) | 143.1 (-25.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -8.3 (+7.7) | 146.6 (-28.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -7.5 (+8.5) | 145.5 (-27.5) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SF 92 – 79 USD |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SF 74 – 64 USD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SF 84 – 61 USD |
| Jan 26, 2025 | SF 81 – 69 USD |
| Feb 2, 2024 | SF 95 – 79 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 3-11 |
| Conference | 4-9 | 2-7 |
| Home | 3-5 | 0-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#103) | -5.5 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#149) | -0.64 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#149) | -0.77 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#175) | 0.459 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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