Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | EWU -800 IDST +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -12.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -10.5 (+2.5) | 141.0 (-4.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -9.0 (+4.0) | 139.9 (-2.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -10.8 (+2.2) | 138.8 (-1.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -10.5 (+2.5) | 140.2 (-3.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | EWU 88 – 75 IDST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | EWU 84 – 66 IDST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IDST 78 – 54 EWU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | IDST 78 – 70 EWU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | EWU 88 – 82 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-8 | 13-11 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 8-6 |
| Home | 7-2 | 8-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 64.5 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#112) | -6.1 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#165) | -1.20 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#151) | -1.73 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#104) | 0.455 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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