Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | OU -138 TEX +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | OU -1.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -2.5 (-6.5) | 146.6 (-12.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -0.2 (-4.2) | 142.5 (-8.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -2.2 (-6.2) | 146.2 (-12.2) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OU -2.3 (-6.3) | 147.2 (-13.2) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | OU 88 – 85 TEX |
| Jan 31, 2026 | TEX 79 – 69 OU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OU 76 – 72 TEX |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TEX 77 – 73 OU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TEX 94 – 80 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-11 | 19-8 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 11-6 |
| Home | 10-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#30) | 13.2 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#23) | 2.66 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#34) | 3.51 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#34) | 0.602 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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