Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | NCCU -163 FAMU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +3 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -0.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.0 (+19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -0.2 (+2.8) | 128.1 (+16.9) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -0.2 (+2.8) | 130.2 (+14.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -0.8 (+2.2) | 130.8 (+14.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -0.2 (+3.2) | 128.6 (+16.4) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2021 | FAMU 65 – 58 NCCU |
| Feb 9, 2021 | FAMU 60 – 47 NCCU |
| Feb 8, 2021 | FAMU 59 – 50 NCCU |
Game Analysis
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